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Final solar duties on India, Indonesia and Laos: what changes in a fall 2026 quote

On September 11 the Commerce Department made its solar duties on India, Indonesia and Laos final: dumping margins of 123.04%, 94.36% and 65.43%, with subsidy rates on top that take combined duties past 200% for every origin. The ITC votes October 14. What that does to a commercial quote this fall, and how to fix the supply before then.
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Crated solar modules being unloaded from a flatbed truck at a commercial site in Georgia, with a warehouse roof array behind

The final solar duties on India, Indonesia and Laos are set. On September 11, 2026 the U.S. Department of Commerce issued its final affirmative determinations in the antidumping and countervailing duty investigations of crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells and modules from the three countries, PV Tech reported on September 14. The final dumping margins are 123.04 percent for India, 94.36 percent for Indonesia and 65.43 percent for Laos. The subsidy rates come on top: 126.09 percent for India, 73.20 to 173.70 percent for Indonesia and 82.03 to 153.67 percent for Laos, depending on the exporter.

We reported the preliminary determinations in our September 9 piece on the anti-dumping case. Two of the three numbers moved a long way since April. India's dumping margin held at 123.04 percent, but Indonesia's rose from 35.17 to 94.36 percent and Laos's from 22.46 to 65.43 percent. Combined with the subsidy rates, Solar Power World calculates total duties of 249.13 percent for India, up to 268.06 percent for Indonesia and up to 219.10 percent for Laos.

What happens between now and November 2?

Commerce's decision is one half of the process. The other half belongs to the U.S. International Trade Commission, which must find that the imports materially injured the domestic industry before the duties become formal orders. PV Tech reports that the ITC's final vote is scheduled for October 14, 2026, and that if the finding is affirmative the antidumping and countervailing duty orders will be issued on November 2.

Money has been changing hands since the spring. Importers have posted cash deposits at the border since the preliminary determinations, and PV Tech reports the adjusted deposit rates now stand at 107.17 percent for India and 65.03 percent for Laos once export subsidies already countervailed are netted out. An order in November converts those deposits into a settled duty; a negative injury vote would return them.

The petition was brought by a coalition of domestic module manufacturers. Solar Power World quotes Tim Brightbill, co-chair of the international trade practice at the law firm Wiley, which represents the coalition: "America's solar manufacturing sector is poised for a historic resurgence, with domestic module capacity up more than 750% since 2022."

What this means for a business pricing a system this fall

The three origins are, for practical purposes, closed to new U.S. projects, and the market has known that since April. Supply for the quotes a business in Georgia or Florida receives this month is built on other countries and on domestic assembly, and the deposits already collected mean much of the price effect is in those quotes today.

The point that decides a project's budget is smaller and more practical. Modules are one component of an installed cost that also includes racking, inverters, wiring, engineering and interconnection, and our analysis of commercial solar cost per kW in Georgia sets out how the pieces add up. A change in the module line moves the total by a fraction of its own percentage. What a buyer controls is timing: the origin, the model, the price and the delivery window should be written into the contract now, with delivery inside the window the supplier has priced, and not left open across the October 14 vote, the November 2 order date and the December 4 start of the separate Section 232 measures on imported modules.

The paperwork overlaps usefully with the tax credit. The supplier certification of origin that fixes tariff exposure is close to the certification the federal credit now requires under the prohibited foreign entity rules, and one request to the supplier covers both. The credit's conditions are on our federal solar tax credit page.

How we buy for a project

We deliver the array, the electrical work and the interconnection under one commercial solar EPC contract, and module procurement sits inside that contract rather than being passed through as a variable the customer carries. The number that decides whether a project makes sense is the power bill it replaces. On the 117 kW ground-mounted system at Swainsboro Supply Company that figure is about $1,800 a month, and it does not move with a duty order.

For a plant, a warehouse or a farm weighing a system now, the guidance is the same as it was in April, with firmer dates attached. Get the quote, fix the supply, and let the trade calendar run. Use our calculator for a first estimate of size and savings, or send us twelve months of utility bills and we will price the system with the module origin and delivery window written into the offer.

final solar duties India Indonesia Laos

Frequently asked questions

What did the Commerce Department decide on September 11?

It issued final affirmative determinations in its antidumping and countervailing duty investigations of crystalline silicon solar cells and modules from India, Indonesia and Laos. According to PV Tech and Solar Power World, the final dumping margins are 123.04 percent for India, 94.36 percent for Indonesia and 65.43 percent for Laos, and the subsidy rates are 126.09 percent for India, 73.20 to 173.70 percent for Indonesia and 82.03 to 153.67 percent for Laos, depending on the exporter.

How much did the final duties change from the preliminary ones?

India stayed at 123.04 percent. Indonesia and Laos rose sharply: the preliminary dumping margins in April were 35.17 percent for Indonesia and 22.46 percent for Laos, and the final figures are 94.36 and 65.43 percent. Combined with the subsidy rates, Solar Power World puts the total at 249.13 percent for India, up to 268.06 percent for Indonesia and up to 219.10 percent for Laos. In practice those three origins are priced out of new U.S. projects.

Are the duties in force now?

Cash deposits have been collected at the border since the preliminary determinations in the spring, and PV Tech reports the adjusted deposit rates now stand at 107.17 percent for India and 65.03 percent for Laos after subsidy offsets. The duties become formal orders only if the International Trade Commission finds injury to the domestic industry. PV Tech reports that vote is scheduled for October 14, 2026, with orders to follow on November 2 if it is affirmative.

What does this do to the price of a commercial solar system in Georgia or Florida?

Less than the percentages suggest. Modules are one line in an installed cost that also includes racking, inverters, electrical work, engineering and interconnection, and supply had already been shifting away from these three countries since the petition was filed. The quotes a business sees this fall are built on other origins and on domestic assembly. What matters is that the origin, model, price and delivery window are written into the contract before the next dates on the calendar.

Is there anything else coming that affects module prices?

Yes. The separate Section 232 action on imported modules takes effect December 4, 2026, with a minimum import price and an additional tariff, as we reported earlier this month. Between the October 14 injury vote, the November 2 order date and December 4, a project that fixes its module supply in September has three fewer variables than one that waits until winter.

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